Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.079957 0.092311 0.105943 0.122105 0.140747 0.161582 0.186645
2026-02-08 0.060637 0.077260 0.097473 0.123871 0.157465 0.198833 0.253722
2026-02-15 0.049666 0.067795 0.091385 0.124351 0.169293 0.228524 0.312714
2026-02-22 0.042621 0.061533 0.087537 0.125939 0.181310 0.258444 0.374414
2026-03-01 0.036191 0.054842 0.081737 0.123396 0.186451 0.278598 0.424049
2026-03-08 0.031325 0.049566 0.077015 0.121384 0.191520 0.298505 0.474898
2026-03-15 0.028139 0.046321 0.074762 0.122565 0.201189 0.325916 0.539932
2026-03-22 0.026416 0.045108 0.075421 0.128248 0.218397 0.366712 0.630820
2026-03-29 0.024544 0.043370 0.074948 0.131873 0.232421 0.403574 0.719114
2026-04-05 0.022801 0.041612 0.074179 0.134792 0.245389 0.439793 0.810129
2026-04-12 0.021024 0.039557 0.072624 0.136057 0.255418 0.471713 0.896756
2026-04-19 0.018961 0.036728 0.069343 0.133733 0.258496 0.491220 0.962276
2026-04-26 0.016808 0.033512 0.065061 0.129157 0.257028 0.502534 1.014339
2026-05-03 0.015687 0.032175 0.064194 0.131097 0.268438 0.539695 1.121779
2026-05-10 0.014529 0.030620 0.062714 0.131605 0.276968 0.571973 1.222867
2026-05-17 0.013615 0.029454 0.061870 0.133286 0.288018 0.610377 1.340967
2026-05-24 0.012380 0.027465 0.059111 0.130594 0.289470 0.628913 1.418354
2026-05-31 0.011328 0.025751 0.056742 0.128464 0.291856 0.649589 1.502677
2026-06-07 0.010659 0.024813 0.055945 0.129715 0.301869 0.687883 1.631199
2026-06-14 0.010410 0.024802 0.057189 0.135731 0.323397 0.754134 1.832273
2026-06-21 0.010010 0.024393 0.057488 0.139568 0.340234 0.811375 2.018432
2026-06-28 0.009585 0.023877 0.057478 0.142659 0.355606 0.866759 2.206399
2026-07-05 0.009079 0.023105 0.056783 0.143998 0.366822 0.913324 2.377655